Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.993194e-05 0.000069 0.000080 0.000091 0.000104 0.000117 0.000132
2024-12-22 4.671015e-05 0.000059 0.000073 0.000090 0.000109 0.000130 0.000155
2024-12-29 3.784663e-05 0.000052 0.000068 0.000088 0.000113 0.000141 0.000175
2025-01-05 3.112354e-05 0.000046 0.000064 0.000087 0.000116 0.000151 0.000194
2025-01-12 2.531010e-05 0.000040 0.000059 0.000084 0.000117 0.000157 0.000207
2025-01-19 2.031310e-05 0.000035 0.000054 0.000081 0.000116 0.000160 0.000218
2025-01-26 1.672169e-05 0.000031 0.000050 0.000079 0.000117 0.000165 0.000230
2025-02-02 1.513892e-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000081 0.000123 0.000178 0.000252
2025-02-09 1.308227e-05 0.000027 0.000048 0.000081 0.000126 0.000186 0.000267
2025-02-16 1.254049e-05 0.000027 0.000050 0.000085 0.000136 0.000203 0.000295
2025-02-23 1.090437e-05 0.000025 0.000048 0.000085 0.000139 0.000210 0.000310
2025-03-02 8.802420e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000081 0.000136 0.000211 0.000317
2025-03-09 7.331802e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000081 0.000140 0.000221 0.000336
2025-03-16 5.900314e-06 0.000018 0.000040 0.000080 0.000141 0.000228 0.000353
2025-03-23 4.767394e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000079 0.000143 0.000236 0.000372
2025-03-30 3.800260e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000145 0.000243 0.000388
2025-04-06 2.881840e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000075 0.000144 0.000247 0.000401
2025-04-13 2.078249e-06 0.000011 0.000031 0.000072 0.000142 0.000248 0.000410
2025-04-20 1.535928e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000070 0.000142 0.000252 0.000422
2025-04-27 1.343503e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000148 0.000267 0.000450
2025-05-04 1.057257e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000072 0.000151 0.000275 0.000469
2025-05-11 1.014686e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000076 0.000161 0.000295 0.000506
2025-05-18 7.906034e-07 0.000008 0.000028 0.000076 0.000164 0.000304 0.000525